2024 Rugby World Player of the Year: Who’s Most Likely to Win?
Why the race matters
Each year the World Rugby Awards spotlight the player who has defined the sport’s narrative. The Rugby World Player of the Year isn’t just a trophy; it’s a barometer of consistency, impact, and the ability to rise when the stakes are highest. In 2024, the conversation has already turned lively, with fans, pundits, and former internationals weighing in on who could lift the silver globe.
Key contenders for 2024
While the shortlist will eventually be narrowed by a panel of journalists and former players, a handful of names keep resurfacing. Their performances this season have been anything but ordinary.
1. Antoine Dupont (France, Scrum‑half)
Dupont’s blend of lightning‑quick service and tactical vision continues to set the standard for modern scrum‑halves. Even after the World Cup, he’s maintained a high tempo with Toulouse, often dictating play from the ruck. Observers note his knack for creating line‑breaks out of seemingly innocuous passes, a skill that translates into points and momentum for any side.
2. Ardie Savea (New Zealand, Flanker)
Savea’s work rate is legendary, and his ability to combine physicality with ball‑carrying flair makes him a constant threat. In Super Rugby, he’s been a catalyst in the Hurricanes’ attacking phases, and his defensive reads have helped keep opponents off‑balance. The All Blacks’ recent tours have only amplified his reputation as a game‑changer.
3. Siya Kolisi (South Africa, Number 8)
Kolisi’s leadership off the field mirrors his influence on the pitch. At the Springboks, his carries often break the gain line, and his defensive organization is a benchmark for other forwards. Though he’s approaching the latter stages of his career, his consistency and mentorship keep him in the conversation.
4. Sam Cane (New Zealand, Flanker/Number 8)
After a brief hiatus, Cane returned to the All Blacks with a renewed vigor. His reading of the game and ability to turn turnovers into attacking platforms have been crucial in tight matches. Many commentators appreciate his resilience and the way he lifts the intensity of his teammates.
Factors that could tip the scales
Predicting the winner isn’t just about raw stats. Several nuanced elements often sway the panel’s decision.
- Impact in decisive matches: Players who shine in knockout stages or in classic rivalries tend to leave a stronger impression.
- Leadership and intangibles: Captains or senior figures who inspire unity often earn extra credit.
- Consistency across competitions: Dominance in club play, international tests, and possibly the Rugby Champions Cup shows a player’s adaptability.
- Narrative momentum: A compelling personal story—overcoming injury, leading a comeback, or breaking a historic barrier—can influence votes.
How the shortlist might shape up
World Rugby typically releases a shortlist of five players before the final ceremony. Based on current form, the most plausible lineup could feature Dupont, Savea, Kolisi, Cane, and a surprise entrant from the Southern Hemisphere’s burgeoning talent pool—perhaps a rising star like Ireland’s James Ryan or England’s Maro Itoje, depending on how their seasons unfold.
Should the panel lean toward a forward, the decision may hinge on who can demonstrate both raw power and finesse. If a backline player wins, the emphasis will likely be on game‑breaking moments and scoring contributions.
What the fans are saying
Social media chatter offers a glimpse into public sentiment. In recent polls across major rugby forums, Dupont often tops the fan vote, while Savea garners a close second. Kolisi’s supporters point to his inspirational role in South Africa’s 2023 triumph, arguing that his legacy deserves acknowledgment.
Interestingly, a growing faction of fans argues for a “team player” award separate from the individual accolade, suggesting that the sport’s collaborative nature deserves more spotlight.
Potential dark horses
Every awards cycle has at least one unexpected name that leaps into the conversation late in the year. In 2024, two players fit that profile.
Tomás Lavanini (Argentina, Lock)
Lavanini’s line‑out accuracy and aggressive defense have been pivotal for the Pumas in their recent Southern Hemisphere tests. While he hasn’t received the same media buzz as the front‑runners, his influence on set‑piece stability could catch the panel’s eye.
Rieko Ioane (New Zealand, Wing)
After a slow start to the season, Ioane rediscovered his try‑scoring instincts in the latter half, delivering several match‑winning performances for the Blues. If his resurgence continues, he could emerge as a surprise contender.
When the winner will be announced
The final ceremony is slated for late November, aligning with the traditional end‑of‑year awards calendar. Historically, the event takes place in a rotating host city, giving fans worldwide a chance to celebrate the sport’s best.
Until the official shortlist appears, the debate will keep fueling pre‑match banter and post‑game analysis. Whether the eventual winner is a seasoned veteran or a breakout star, the 2024 award promises to reflect the evolving dynamism of modern rugby.
Frequently Asked Questions
What criteria does World Rugby use to select the Player of the Year?
The panel evaluates individual performance, impact in key matches, consistency across club and international fixtures, leadership qualities, and the overall narrative surrounding the player’s season.
Can a player win the award more than once?
Yes. The award is open to any eligible player each year, and several past winners have claimed the honor multiple times, underscoring sustained excellence.
Is there a separate award for emerging talent?
World Rugby also presents a “Rookie of the Year” honor, which highlights a player who has made a significant breakthrough during the season.
How are fans involved in the voting process?
Fans can usually cast their votes through an online poll, but the final decision rests with the appointed panel of experts, ensuring a balanced evaluation.